# Present Future ## Metadata * Author: [Guy Perelmuter](https://www.amazon.comundefined) * ASIN: B08WHVXVVS * ISBN: 173542451X * Reference: https://www.amazon.com/dp/B08WHVXVVS * [Kindle link](kindle://book?action=open&asin=B08WHVXVVS) ## Highlights At any decision point, 100% of the information we have is based on the past, while 100% of the value and consequences of the decision we make lies in the future, which is inherently probabilistic and unknown. This is also the best definition of risk: that more things may happen than will. Those who can better assess what may happen next have an advantage over those who can’t, and as a consequence they will make better decisions, choices, and investments. — location: [162](kindle://book?action=open&asin=B08WHVXVVS&location=162) ^ref-35562 --- “people tend to overestimate what can be done in a year and to underestimate what can be done in five or ten years.” — location: [252](kindle://book?action=open&asin=B08WHVXVVS&location=252) ^ref-39983 ---